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CMA warns of record-strong super El Nino as climate impacts already hit China_我的网站

勇者义彦与魔王城

一 |

Researchers track coastal climate and ocean conditions to detect El Nino-related shifts. Photo: VCG
As sea surface temperatures in the equatorial central‑eastern Pacific are expected to peak around November to December, potentially leading to a record-strong super El Nino event, China has already experienced typical El Nino-related climate patterns this summer, the China Meteorological Administration announced on Tuesday. These include two major rain belts in eastern regions that caused widespread and intense storms with overlapping impacts, as well more frequent and stronger typhoons delivering prolonged wind and rain.
The central and eastern equatorial Pacific entered an El Nino phase in May, and sea temperatures have since surged. The monitoring region’s sea surface temperature index 2.09 C in July, up 0.49 C from June. By mid-August, it had climbed to 2.64 C, signaling an unusually fast warming trend, the CMA said.
However, according to China’s national standard, a super El Nino event has not yet officially formed.
Given the current pronounced warming trend, a super El Nino event is highly likely to occur, with its intensity potentially exceeding that of the three strongest events on record in 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16 and making it the strongest one ever observed, according to the CMA.
Since the start of summer, China’s abnormal climate patterns have reflected the typical impacts of the El Nino. The western Pacific subtropical high and the monsoon trough have shifted farther north and become stronger, while upper-level cold vortices have repeatedly moved into northern China, resulting in two major rain centers in the north and south, the CMA said.
A stronger summer monsoon has contributed to more frequent and intense typhoon activity, bringing heavier rainfall to southern China and the lower Yangtze River. In northern China, the northward-shifted subtropical high, frequent cold vortices and long-range moisture transport through the typhoons have contributed to repeated strong winds and heavy rain, according to the CMA.
According to CMA, as El Nino continues to develop rapidly and its impacts tend to lag behind its development, the National Climate Centre will strengthen monitoring and forecasting efforts, while closely tracking its future evolution and potential impacts on China’s climate.
Global Times
。今天19时26分，杭州发布主城区暴雨橙色预警！请注意防范。杭州发布主城区暴雨橙色预警杭州市气象台19时26分发布主城区暴雨橙色预警信号：受台风“白海豚”残余环流影响，预计今天夜里上城区、拱墅区、西湖区和滨江区所有街道有大雨到暴雨，请注意防范强降水可能引发的城市积涝、小流域山洪等次生灾害和对交通出行等的不利影响。

截至发稿前，杭州多城区发布暴雨预警。

台风“白海豚”远离浙江杭州风雨影响持续一周全市预报第13号台风“白海豚”（热带风暴级）于今天（10日）12时50分离开我省，16时位于江西省上饶市广丰区境内，中心附近最大风力有8级（20米/秒），中心最低气压990百帕。预计“白海豚”将以每小时15-20公里的速度向西北方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。杭州市气象台提醒，“白海豚”虽已离开我省，但风雨影响还在。

二 | 8日08时-10日16时杭州市雨量分布图降雨预报：今天（10日）傍晚到夜里我市阴有中到大阵雨，临安西部、北部、余杭北部和淳安西部局部暴雨；明天全市分散性阵雨，局部中雨。风力预报：今天傍晚到前半夜最大偏东风平原地区5～7级，山区和江湖水面7～9级，后半夜风力逐渐减弱。重点关注区域：淳安西部、临安西部、余杭北部。气象灾害防御提醒前期累计雨量大，请注意防范地质灾害滞后性可能导致的山体滑坡、泥石流、小流域山洪等次生灾害。市区天气预报11日(周二)：白天多云到阴有阵雨，局部雨量中等，夜里多云到阴有分散性阵雨，25～30℃，偏东风4级阵风5～6级；12日(周三)：多云到阴有分散性阵雨，26～31℃，东北风3～4级；13日(周四)：阴有阵雨或雷雨，25～31℃，偏东风4级；14日(周五)：多云到阴有阵雨或雷雨，25～30℃，偏东风3～4级；15日(周六)：多云到阴部分有阵雨或雷雨，24～30℃，偏东风3～4级阵风5级；16日(周日)：多云到阴部分有阵雨或雷雨，24～31℃，偏东风3～4级阵风5级；17日(周一)：多云到阴部分有阵雨或雷雨，24～30℃，偏东风3～4级阵风5级。资料/市气象局。